{"id":4247,"date":"2024-05-11T14:44:39","date_gmt":"2024-05-11T18:44:39","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.patheos.com\/blogs\/religionqanda\/?p=4247"},"modified":"2024-05-13T08:49:53","modified_gmt":"2024-05-13T12:49:53","slug":"will-religious-beliefs-on-abortion-affect-2024-u-s-vote","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.patheos.com\/blogs\/religionqanda\/2024\/05\/will-religious-beliefs-on-abortion-affect-2024-u-s-vote\/","title":{"rendered":"Will religious beliefs on abortion affect 2024 U.S. vote?"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<\/head>

<\/a><\/h1>\nNew York abortion protest. \u201cAll\u201d? \u201cMost\u201d? \/ Katie Godowski @ pexels.com<\/h5>\n <\/h4>\n THE RELIGON GUY\u2019S ANSWER:<\/h4>\n \ Yes, but perhaps not much.<\/p>\n \ Starting with the news, the Public Religion Research Institute (PRRI) announced a poll showing 64% of Americans think abortion should be legal in \u201cmost or all\u201d cases. However, dig into the internals and only 29% said \u201call\u201d cases while 35% said \u201cmost,\u201d indicating some restrictions. Meanwhile, Gallup found 51% want abortion \u201clegal only under certain circumstances\u201d with 34% favoring all circumstances.<\/p>\n \ With 22,465 respondents, PRRI can offer reliable numbers for religious groups. Also for each state, with special interest in eight battlegrounds whose 97 Electoral College votes are expected to decide a close election. State numbers combined \u201call\u201d and \u201cmost\u201d supporters minus detail on limitations: Arizona (60%), Georgia (63%), Michigan (63%), Nevada (76%), New Hampshire (74%), North Carolina (66%), Pennsylvania (63%), and Wisconsin (66%).<\/p>\n \ Regarding religion, leanings toward abortion limitations are shown in PRRI data distinguishing this \u201call\u201d vs. \u201cmost\u201d support: Black Protestants (33% and 39%), white \u201cmainline\u201d Protestants (26% and 42%), Hispanic Catholics (25% and 35%), white Catholics (24% and 38%), Hispanic Protestants (18% and 26%), Latter-day Saints (9% and 23%) and white evangelical Protestants (8% and 19%) \u2014 contrasting with Jews (44% and 35%) and religiously unaffiliated Americans (48% and 37%).<\/p>\n \ Will that affect votes? White evangelical and LDS voters are concentrated in states that are strongly Republican anyway, so abortion as such does not tilt elections. Democrats understandably figure pro-choice advocacy is their best 2024 argument with swing voters. Surveys suggest their pro-choice fervor causes limited trouble from religious voters in battlegrounds and it certainly pleases the increasingly vital bloc of Democrats without religious identity, the so-called \u201cnones.\u201d<\/p>\n \ Why go Republican?<\/h3>\n \ Leaving aside heavily Protestant Georgia and North Carolina, between 18% and 25% of residents in the other six battlegrounds are Catholic. Political scientist Ryan Burge reports Catholics constituted 19% of the 1970s Republican coalition, rising to 25% by the 2010s. This crucial political shift mainly occurred with white Catholics, not Hispanics. In 2020, Biden won 65% of Hispanics but a USA Today<\/em> poll puts him at 34%, which would be a November earthquake. Abortion could be a secondary or tertiary factor, especially with Hispanic evangelicals.<\/p>\n \ The U.S. Catholic bishops\u2019 voter guide says \u201cthe threat of abortion remains our pre-eminent priority because it directly attacks our most vulnerable brothers and sisters.\u201d Yet analysts think abortion is not mostly why white Catholics\u2019 strong historical Democratic loyalty became a modest Republican majority. As that epochal shift began, political scientist John Green proposed that the church\u2019s anti-abortion heritage helped detach wary Catholics from automatic Democratic voting to consider Republicans based on issues other than<\/u> abortion.<\/p>\n \ PRRI documented the sharp divide between Democrats (86% saying \u201cmost\u201d or \u201call\u201d) vs. Republicans (only 36%). The 2020 Democratic platform declared \u201cunequivocally\u201d that \u201cevery woman should be able to access \u2026 safe and legal abortion,\u201d and with taxpayer funding. Notably, the party specified no restrictions, implying unlimited choice in all stages of pregnancy and for any reason.<\/p>\n \ With Republicans, nominee Donald Trump, oddly, wanted no 2020 platform to run on. The 2016 platform attacked Democrats\u2019 \u201calmost limitless\u201d freedom, endorsed a \u201chuman life amendment to the Constitution,\u201d and declared \u201cthe unborn child has a fundamental right to life which cannot be infringed.\u201d Notably, the party specified no exceptions, though in 2024 Republican candidates generally favor abortion for rape, incest, risks to a mother\u2019s life, and often health dangers.<\/p>\n \ Living entities vs. women\u2019s rights<\/h3>\n \ It\u2019s often said the question here is \u201cwhen does life begin?\u201d But science says when a genetically unique human zygote (fused egg and sperm) implants in a womb, the resulting entity is living and grows on its own. Thus the political problem is not whether a life exists but whether and when it might warrant protection, over against the rights and claims of a pregnant woman. The Supreme Court\u2019s 2022 Dobbs<\/em> decision returned abortion debates to the states, and much 2024 politicking involves stages of pregnancy, as follows.<\/p>\n \ The Catholic Church values unborn life from conception<\/u>, so absolutely that it forbids abortion even with danger to a mother\u2019s life. The largest U.S. Protestant denomination, the Southern Baptist Convention, affirms \u201cthe dignity and sanctity of human life at all stages of development, from conception to natural death,\u201d and calls abortion \u201cgenocide.\u201d Arizona\u2019s law repealed May 2 barred all abortion, with a mother\u2019s life exception. This outlook influenced the Alabama Supreme Court\u2019s ruling, since nullified, that protected couples\u2019 embryos stored at in vitro<\/em> fertilization clinics.<\/p>\n \ Florida this month joined states that outlaw abortion after six weeks<\/u>, with exceptions for a mother\u2019s life or dire physical injury. Though this is around the time mothers first learn they\u2019re pregnant, Florida\u2019s reasoning is indicated by its \u201cHeartbeat Protection Act\u201d title. Actually, at six weeks the heart does not exist, only pulsations.<\/p>\n \ Missouri\u2019s law put into effect with the Dobbs<\/em> decision forbids abortion after eight weeks<\/u>. The American Pregnancy Association says that\u2019s the time when \u201ceverything that is present in an adult human is now present in your baby.\u201d The widely-used \u201cabortion pills\u201d or \u201cmedication abortion,\u201d at issue in the pending U.S. Supreme Court case of Food and Drug Administration v. A.H.M., <\/em>\u00a0can be administered up until ten weeks <\/u>of pregnancy. Some states draw the line at 12 weeks<\/u>, the end of the first trimester, but this line has no biological significance.<\/p>\n \ Toying with 15 weeks<\/h3>\n \ This year, Trump toyed with the 15-week<\/u> line proposed by Senator Lindsey Graham and the line drawn in Arizona\u2019s replacement law. The rationale is that then, if not earlier, a human fetus suffers pain from abortion. Quickening,<\/u> when a pregnant mother first feels the fetus move around 16 to 18 weeks, is not a factor in today\u2019s debates.<\/p>\n \ Viability<\/u>, when a fetus can live on its own outside the womb, exists around 23 or 24 weeks, sometimes earlier. The Supreme Court\u2019s now-overturned Roe v. Wade<\/em> decision set this line after which states could \u201cregulate, and even proscribe,\u201d abortion unless needed to preserve \u201cthe life or health of the mother.\u201d<\/p>\n \ Birth<\/u>?\u00a0 A Dobbs<\/em> brief from the Unitarian Universalists and 53 other liberal faith groups said \u201cnumerous religious traditions posit that life begins at some point during pregnancy or even after a child has been born<\/u>.\u201d And atheistic Princeton University ethics Professor Peter Singer famously advocated death for defective human newborns, deemed to be non-persons with less value than \u201cthe life of a pig, a dog, or a chimpanzee.\u201d<\/p>\n \ <\/h1>\n \ \u00a0<\/p>\n<\/body><\/html>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":" \ New York abortion protest. \u201cAll\u201d? \u201cMost\u201d? \/ Katie Godowski @ pexels.com THE RELIGON GUY\u2019S ANSWER: Yes, but perhaps not much. Starting with the news, the Public Religion Research Institute (PRRI) announced a poll showing 64% of Americans think abortion should be legal in \u201cmost or all\u201d cases. However, dig into the internals and only 29% […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":1275,"featured_media":4253,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"footnotes":""},"categories":[1],"tags":[386,398,392,395,389],"class_list":["post-4247","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-uncategorized","tag-abortion","tag-dobbs-decision","tag-mothers-life","tag-unlimited-choice","tag-zygotes"],"yoast_head":"\nWill religious beliefs on abortion affect 2024 U.S. vote?<\/title>\n<meta name=\"description\" content=\"New York abortion protest. "All"? "Most"? \/ Katie Godowski @ pexels.com THE RELIGON GUY\u2019S ANSWER: Yes, but perhaps not much. 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Ostling was a longtime religion writer with The Associated Press and with Time\u00a0magazine, where he produced 23 cover stories, as well as a Time\u00a0senior correspondent providing field reportage for dozens of major articles. He has interviewed personalities such as Billy Graham, the Dalai Lama, the late Mother Teresa, and the late Joseph Cardinal Ratzinger (later Pope Benedict XVI); ranking rabbis and Muslim leaders; and authorities on other faiths, as well as numerous ordinary believers. Ostling was the first correspondent regularly covering religion for a network TV newscast, working part-time with the PBS NewsHour\u00a0and airing CBS Radio religion reports for two decades. He and his late wife Joan coauthored Mormon America: The Power and the Promise (1999, revised 2007, HarperOne), which The New York Times Book Review praised as \"eminently fair\" and \"well-researched.\" Professional distinctions include a Pulitzer Prize nomination; \u00a0the Lifetime Achievement Award from the Religion Newswriters Association (for specialists in the general media), and religion writing honors from the American Academy of Religion, Episcopal Church, and Religion Communicators Council. In one MediaGuide edition, Ostling was the only Time staff member ranked among the nation's \"highest rated journalists.\" He is listed in Who's Who in America. Ostling earned a bachelor's degree from the University of Michigan (With High Distinction, Phi Beta Kappa), an M.A. in religion from George Washington University, and an M.S.J. from Northwestern University's School of Journalism, which named him a charter member of its Alumni Hall of Achievement.\u00a0 The father of two adult daughters, he lives and works in northern New Jersey and is an active lay member of Ramapo Reformed Church.","url":"https:\/\/www.patheos.com\/blogs\/religionqanda\/author\/religionqanda\/"}]}},"_links":{"self":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.patheos.com\/blogs\/religionqanda\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4247","targetHints":{"allow":["GET"]}}],"collection":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.patheos.com\/blogs\/religionqanda\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts"}],"about":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.patheos.com\/blogs\/religionqanda\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/types\/post"}],"author":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.patheos.com\/blogs\/religionqanda\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/users\/1275"}],"replies":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.patheos.com\/blogs\/religionqanda\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/comments?post=4247"}],"version-history":[{"count":0,"href":"https:\/\/www.patheos.com\/blogs\/religionqanda\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/posts\/4247\/revisions"}],"wp:featuredmedia":[{"embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.patheos.com\/blogs\/religionqanda\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media\/4253"}],"wp:attachment":[{"href":"https:\/\/www.patheos.com\/blogs\/religionqanda\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/media?parent=4247"}],"wp:term":[{"taxonomy":"category","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.patheos.com\/blogs\/religionqanda\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/categories?post=4247"},{"taxonomy":"post_tag","embeddable":true,"href":"https:\/\/www.patheos.com\/blogs\/religionqanda\/wp-json\/wp\/v2\/tags?post=4247"}],"curies":[{"name":"wp","href":"https:\/\/api.w.org\/{rel}","templated":true}]}}